At Decision Desk HQ, we follow the data. On Election Night 2024, here’s where it led us:
Our race calls, with 100% accuracy:
- For the third US presidential election in a row, DDHQ was the first race-call provider to project the winner:
- 1:22am: DDHQ calls the presidency for Donald Trump upon calling Pennsylvania (previous call: Alaska)
- 1:46am: Fox News calls the presidency for Trump upon calling Alaska (previous call: Pennsylvania)
- 5:30-5:34am: everybody else (AP, ABC, CBS, CNN, NBC) upon calling Wisconsin
- First organization to project the GOP House majority (thank you, Reuters, for citing our projection because you were waiting for your own!).
- Second to Fox News in projecting the GOP Senate majority.
Our forecast model:
- Of the major forecasts (DDHQ’s, 538, Nate Silver’s, The Economist, and Split Ticket’s), DDHQ’s was the only one to correctly favor Donald Trump in their final Election Day forecast.
- DDHQ correctly projected 33 of the 34 US Senate seats contested this year (we’ll get you next time, Pennsylvania!)
- Our House model correctly projected 402 of 412 contested races.
Our Election View System:
DDHQ developed our Election View System to help our broadcaster and streamer clients bring our results, calls and related data to life in an engaging, informative way.
NewsNation, which “averaged 265,000 total viewers and 68,000 demo viewers in its first year as a 24/7 news network”, was a major user of the system, along with five popular streamers:
- The Daily Wire, ValueTainment, Destiny, Brian Tyler Cohen, and Breaking Points
- Combined, our partners got 17 million views of their Election Night coverage featuring DDHQ’s interactive graphics
- 700,000 peak concurrent viewers across the five YouTube livestreams
Our Election Night web traffic:
- >14B (that’s a “B”): requests served for our API and embedded products in 24 hours
- 64: terabytes of data for the same
- 350M: requests per minute at peak
- 3.3M: unique visits to our website
- 38M: page views (Election Night until race projection)
We’re grateful to our clients and followers and as always, remain committed to independently decided results, rigorous accuracy, and transparency.