Wisconsin is one of the few upcoming primary states not to move its election, which is still scheduled for Tuesday, April 7th. 11 days before the election, Governor Tony Evers asked the state legislature to mail every single registered voter an absentee ballot . With about 767,000 already requested, that would mean sending out an […]
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Queensland By-Elections, Demographics, and Trump’s Chances Of Re-Election
This upcoming Saturday, voters in two of the Australian State of Queensland will go to the polls for by-elections to replace resigned members. These byelections, just months before the scheduled state election, are an interesting test for both the Queensland government, but also for a theory of politics that extends far past the borders of […]
Bernie Sanders Wins Democrats Abroad Primary
The Democrats Abroad released the results of their primary today. Sanders wins nine delegates to Biden’s four.
The GOP’s Best Hope At Holding The Senate? Triage
With Thursday’s release of a Public Policy Polling poll from Montana showing a tied race in Montana’s Senate race between Republican incumbent Senator Steve Daines and incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Bullock, we finally have a poll from most every competitive Senate race in 2020. The Democrats need four gains, given Alabama will go to the […]
Warning Signs Abound For The GOP
With Sunday’s release of a Wall Street Journal/NBC National poll, we now have a third data point this week showing Joe Biden with a big lead. From a 9 point lead in WSJ/NBC to CNN’s Biden +10 to Quinnipiac’s even more bullish +11, there’s a clear trend line. The LeanTossup average, which includes all polling […]