In the 2012 Presidential Election, Democrat Barack Obama decisively defeated Republican Mitt Romney. Obama won 332 electoral votes and the national Presidential popular vote by nearly 4%. Despite this crushing victory, Obama headed into his second term in office without a majority in the US House. House Republicans lost the popular vote by 1% but […]
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Can Democrats Hold the Senate in 2024? A First Look at the Imposing Senate Map
Senate Democrats are now set to spend two more years in the majority, and that’s before voters in Georgia decide the final seat in a December 6th run-off. By this point, of course, even the most casual follower of politics should know just how crucial every single seat in the upper chamber can be. Not […]
A Shifting Democratic Coalition: Keys to the 2022 Georgia Senate Runoff
For the second consecutive election cycle, Democrat Raphael Warnock will compete in a runoff for a Georgia Senate seat. Warnock won a plurality of the vote over the Republican nominee, Herschel Walker, but fell short of the 50% threshold needed to win the seat without a runoff. This time, the runoff will not decide the […]
The Messaging Mistake That Cost Republicans the Midterms
Maybe it was the crudité? With inflation at its highest point in four decades, high prices were seemingly destined to be the defining issue of the 2022 midterms. Indeed, voters consistently cited concern over inflation in public opinion polls throughout the year. So you’d expect Republicans to hammer this issue over the course of the […]
How the 2022 Midterms Altered Biden’s and Trump’s 2024 Hopes
Welcome to Election Week 2022! With DDHQ being the only election return service to call control of both the House and Senate, we can start to draw some conclusions from the 2022 elections, and what they can tell us about the upcoming 2024 Presidential race. Let’s start with the incumbent President Joe Biden, who seemed […]