The second after Big Ben struck 10 pm in the UK last Thursday night, the blame game began in the Labour party. Why had the party, that had won three straight landslides with Tony Blair just 20 years ago, lost four straight elections? How had, not just the general population of the UK, but previously […]
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UK Election: The Disunited Kingdom
While the story of the UK Election is mostly in the results in England and Wales, the reason Boris Johnson has the majority he now has, the results in Scotland and Northern Ireland don’t match the national trend. And, perhaps more importantly, they may signal the end of the United Kingdom as it currently sits. […]
UK Election Postmortem: The Red Wall Broke
The British Conservatives won the 2019 UK election, achieving the majority Boris Johnson needs to continue in office and break the deadlock that consumed British governance in 2019. And they did so in a way that has a ton more consequences than just this Parliament. The Conservatives suffered 7 losses in Scotland, 2 to the […]
#UK2019: What To Watch
Election night in the UK! Its got everything an election nerd wants for Christmas: Viral Commercials Beautiful (Math) Models Dogs at Polling Locations As per usual we got the insiders look at what to watch on election night. Instead of counties, its “constituencies” and we have figured out which ones to care about and when […]
UK Polling & Seat Projections: Bet on Boris
We have been doing polling and seat projection aggregation over here at DDHQ and as of this morning it looks like Boris Johnson is coasting to a potentially landslide win. All of the data we are using in this analysis can be found here. Polling Aggregation According to our polling aggregator, the Conservative Party […]