Saturday saw the first results come in of the Democratic Caucuses come in. While we don’t yet have complete figures, or full delegate allocations, we do have some things we learned from the results tonight. Sanders Didn’t Underperform Having final numbers would be good here, if only so we could truly estimate the size […]
All results are provided by the Nevada State Democratic Party We will also be providing an estimate of national delegates.
On Tuesday, five national Democratic Primary polls were released, all showing one thing – a big Bernie Sanders lead. Despite the fact Sanders is only on 29% per the LeanTossup National Average, he is in the driver’s seat of the primary, forecast for 1816 delegates per the LeanTossup model. And while the model still believes […]
Tonight’s primaries are to replace former GOP Congressman Sean Duffy who resigned last spring. Duffy won reelection in 2018 by almost 22%, so the winner of tonight’s Republican primary will be heavily favored in the May 12th special election to rill the remainder of the term. Polls close at 8pm central time.
When I started building the LeanTossup Democratic Primary model for our site in the spring of 2019, I decided to add a pie chart to show the odds that no candidate would win a majority of pledged delegates (a Contested Convention). I asked twitter to vote in a poll on their preferred labels for the […]