Possible Senate Floor Drama Tomorrow- McCain a Likely No on Mulvaney, Cloture Vote Early AM

Keep an eye tomorrow on the cloture vote for OMB Director nominee, Congressman Mick Mulvaney: Senator John McCain is now a likely no, due to his concerns with defense, which would put Mr. Mulvaney at 51 Yea (we have no Democrats currently as yes, and he appears as divisive a nominee as Tom Price). Rep. Mulvaney can afford another Republican to defect- possibly Lisa Murkowski or Susan Collins- but cannot be confirmed if three Republicans break ranks.

The cloture vote is tomorrow morning, about an hour after the Senate convenes. Thirty hours of debate are expected, placing a final confirmation vote sometime Thursday afternoon. This delay on Mulvaney, and expected delays for Scott Pruitt, EPA Director nominee, could mean the four other Cabinet nominees brought to the floor yesterday- Ryan Zinke (Interior), Wilbur Rioss (Commerce), Ben Carson (HUD), and Rick Perry (Energy) may be delayed until next week.

Senate Vote Estimate

Democrats* Republicans
Alabama Shelby Strange
Alaska Murkowski Sullivan
Arizona McCain Flake
Arkansas Boozeman Cotton
California Feinstein Harris
Colorado Bennet Gardner
Connecticut Blumenthal Murphy
Delaware Carper Coons
Florida Nelson Rubio
Georgia Isakson Perdue
Hawaii Schatz Hirono
Idaho Crapo Risch
Illinois Durbin Duckworth
Indiana Donnelly Young
Iowa Grassley Ernst
Kansas Roberts Moran
Kentucky McConnell Paul
Louisiana Cassidy Kennedy
Maine King (i) Collins
Maryland Cardin Van Hollen
Massachusetts Warren Markey
Michigan Stabenow Peters
Minnesota Klobuchar Franken
Mississippi Cochran Wicker
Missouri McCaskill Blunt
Montana Tester Daines
Nebraska Fischer Sasse
Nevada Cortez Masto Heller
New Hampshire Shaheen Hassan
New Jersey Menendez Booker
New Mexico Udall Heinrich
New York Schumer Gillibrand
North Carolina Burr Tillis
North Dakota Heitkamp Hoeven
Ohio Brown Portman
Oklahoma Inhofe Lankford
Oregon Wyden Merkley
Pennsylvania Casey Toomey
Rhode Island Reed Whitehouse
South Carolina Graham Scott
South Dakota Thune Rounds
Tennessee Alexander Corker
Texas Cornyn Cruz
Utah Hatch Lee
Vermont Leahy Sanders (i)
Virginia Warner Kaine
Washington Murray Cantwell
West Virginia Manchin Moore Capito
Wisconsin Baldwin Johnson
Wyoming Enzi Barrasso
Democrats* 0 1 47
Republicans 51 0 1
Total 51 1 48
*Two Independents caucus with Democrats.
Likely Support, Likey Oppose, Unknown/No Info