Numerous Senate Republicans have made it clear they will not vote for the House’s current Affordable Care Act replacement plan, the American Health Care Act. Medicaid expansion is the most common reason for Senators balking, and has been cited by Shelly Moore Capito, Rob Portman, Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins, and Cory Gardner. Others have dubbed it “Obamacare-lite”, like Mike Lee, Ted Cruz, and Rand Paul. We have assumed the remaining Republicans are yeas with mild adjustments to the law. Republican Leaders were hoping to pass it through reconciliation, bypassing the filibuster threat from Democrats, none of whom support the bill. But without considerable revisions, it’s D.O.A.
Update- Steve Daines joins the crowd of Senate Republicans opposing the current bill, and McCain and Graham appear unsold on the bill as-is, want revisions. 3/14/2017
Update- Collins, Paul, and Lee are all solid nays now. More Senators below are listed as nays due to statements about the House bill, but even if the rest changed their minds, three defections is one too many for passage. 3/21/2017