Over the next twenty days, three Congressional seats, a statehood referendum, and the UK Parliament are all up for grabs. Here’s what we have in the works for June.
Tuesday, June 6th
New Jersey- #NJGov
Both gubernatorial primaries look like runaway wins for their frontrunners: Lt. Gov Kim Guadagno is polling a wide lead on the Republican side, businessman Phil Murphy the same on the Democratic. Still, it’s the first of two gubernatorial primaries we’ll get this year. Polls close at 8pm EDT, and we anticipate 99% of the results will be counted by Midnight.
The third Congressional seat to be filled this year, the district is overwhelmingly Democratic, and thanks to California’s top two primary system, both candidates are from the same party. State Assemblyman Jimmy Gomez is the expected winner, but attorney Robert Lee Ahn has put up a considerable fight- they earned 25% and 22% of the crowded first-round vote. Polls close at 11pm EDT, and results in L.A. County, even for a low-turnout race, take a long time to roll in. All precincts will be reported by 6-8am EDT…with mail-in ballots and provisionals taking an additional 1-2 weeks to be processed. We’ll likely have a call the night of.
Thursday, June 8th
United Kingdom- #GE2017
When Conservative leader Theresa May called for a general election, it looked like a smart, calculated move: the Conservatives were boasting twenty point leads in the early polls over Labour. But the last few weeks have seen that fortune erode to the point that YouGov’s model has them losing seats. We’ll have to see if the late polling that seems to be capturing a surge of Labour support from younger voters is real, or, like all too many surveys that rely upon a big youth vote, a mirage. Polls close across the UK at 5pm EDT, with the first results expected just forty-eight minutes after.
Saturday, June 10th
The nation’s seventh largest city holds its runoff, and the DDHQ team will have returns next Saturday evening. Incumbent Mayor Ivy Taylor faces off against Councilman Ron Nirenberg. Mayor Taylor earned 42% of the first round vote, Nirenberg, 37%. Polls close at 8pm EDT.
Sunday, June 11th
Puerto Rico- #statehood
The Commonwealth of Puerto Rico had already held a referendum on the question of statehood in 2012, but its Governor-elect at the time deemed the results nebulous and the statehood movement went into hibernation for a while. The island’s new Governor is very strongly pro-statehood, and pushed for a new referendum with a clear, single question ballot option.
What would a statehood vote mean? To answer that, here’s DDHQ contributor Alexander Marrero-Laureano:
“The problem with this vote is that it is non-binding. So, chances are that Congress will just look the other way. People that are anti-statehood would then use the low-turnout (the PIP and PPD Parties are boycotting) as an argument that Puerto Ricans don’t really want statehood.