The special U.S. Senate election initiated by Governor Kay Ivey in Alabama is crowded with candidates, and as we approach Tuesday’s primaries, runoffs seem likely for both parties.
With the FOX10/Strategy Research survey released today, we have five public polls of the Republican primary and three of the Democratic conducted in the past month. We weigh polls based on age, but our weighted average and a blind one both show the same thing: former Judge Roy Moore leading the Republican field and political newcomer Robert Kennedy, Jr leading the Democratic one:
The latest survey is a bit of a dip for Kennedy, who was edging close to an outright win in the earlier polls. Doug Jones may have earned enough attention and endorsements to force a runoff. Congressman Brooks’ numbers edged up over the last month, as has Moore’s, while Strange’s share of the vote has contracted a bit.
On the Republican side, endorsements are all over the place.
President Donald Trump finally weighed in this week, endorsing Senator Luther Strange. The Senator already had the support of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and the National Republican Senatorial Committee, fellow Alabama Senator Richard Shelby, the National Rifle Association, and the National Right to Life.
Leading candidate Roy Moore has the endorsement of the Alabama Republican Assembly, the Gun Owners of America (with Brooks, a sort of un-endorsement of Strange), actor Chuck Norris, Duck Dynasty’s Phil Robertson, and former Governor Fob James.
Congressman Mo Brooks has the support of House Freedom Caucus Chair Mark Meadows, Congressmen Mike Rogers and Lamar Smith, the chairman of Donald Trump’s Alabama campaign and current State Rep Ed Henry, Students for Trump, Women Vote Trump, the aforementioned GOA, political commentator Ann Coulter, FreedomWorks, the Senate Conservatives Fund, and talk show hosts Mark Levin, Sean Hannity, and Laura Ingraham.
On the Democratic side, the lion’s share of endorsements have gone to former U.S. Attorney Doug Jones. Jones has received the support of Congressmen John Lewis and Tim Ryan, Alabama’s only Democratic Congresswoman Terri Sewell, former mayor of Birmingham Richard Arrington, Lilly Ledbetter, the Alabama Democratic Conference, and the Greene County Democrat. Robert Kennedy, Jr has earned the endorsement of Olympic Gold Medalist Carl Lewis.