Congressional District 1 On May 31, Democratic Rep. David Cicilline resigned from Congress to take a job as president and CEO of the Rhode Island Foundation. This left a vacancy for a wide-open primary in a solid Democratic district. Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District is one of two Congressional Districts in the Ocean State. It covers the state's eastern half, including … [Read more...] about Special Election Results: Rhode Island Congressional District 1 and More
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Special Election Results: Utah Congressional District 2
On May 31, Republican Rep. Chris Stewart announced he will resign from the US House citing ongoing health issues with his wife. He will officially resign on September 15. The 2nd Congressional District covers the southwest of the state, including the city of St. George, and extends up into the Salt Lake area. We'll have Utah special election results starting shortly after polls … [Read more...] about Special Election Results: Utah Congressional District 2
Abortion, Voting Rights, And The Wisconsin State Supreme Court—How Education Polarization is Starting to Help Democrats Too
For the past few years, national Democrats have publicly bemoaned how increased education polarization has given Republicans a significant structural advantage in some governing bodies. As white voters without a bachelor’s degree in the Rust Belt shifted to the right, Republicans enjoyed a substantial positive bias in the Electoral College in 2016 and 2020 that seems likely to … [Read more...] about Abortion, Voting Rights, And The Wisconsin State Supreme Court—How Education Polarization is Starting to Help Democrats Too
Election Results: Wisconsin Supreme Court Primary, Virginia 4th Congressional District Special Election, and more
There are seven races we are tracking across the nation today. Voters in Wisconsin are heading to the polls to select who will make the general election ballot in a number of races, while voters in Virginia's 4th Congressional District are voting in the first federal election of the year. Kentucky and New Hampshire have special elections today as well. Wisconsin Conservative … [Read more...] about Election Results: Wisconsin Supreme Court Primary, Virginia 4th Congressional District Special Election, and more
DDHQ’s 2022 Forecasting Model Was Published in the Harvard Data Science Review
DDHQ’s election research on applications of correlated simulations was recently published in the Harvard Data Science Review. We figured out that with some minor mathematical simplification, we could simulate elections faster than we were previously able to. Our strategy for faster simulations was centered around the fact that it is much easier, computationally, for a computer … [Read more...] about DDHQ’s 2022 Forecasting Model Was Published in the Harvard Data Science Review