Today we'll continue our look at Minnesota's competitive House elections. We will focus now on the districts where Republicans are in serious danger, MN-2 and MN-3. Minnesota's 2nd congressional district - containing the cities of Eagan and Burnsville, south of Minneapolis - would probably be competitive even in a neutral national environment. Represented by freshman … [Read more...] about State Spotlight: Minnesota, From 2012 to Today, Pt. 2
US House
State Spotlight: Minnesota, From 2012 to Today, Pt. 1
Minnesota is one of the key states that will decide control of the House in this year's midterm election. And Minnesota is unique in at least one regard: this is probably the only state where Democrats could plausibly lose ground. Both MN-1 and MN-8 voted for Donald Trump by substantial margins in 2016, and the Democratic incumbents in both seats are departing to pursue other … [Read more...] about State Spotlight: Minnesota, From 2012 to Today, Pt. 1
Forecaster and model assessments of the House and Senate
While we have our own House and Senate model, which currently give the Democrats an 80.13% chance of winning the former with 224 seats, and the Republicans an 84.77% chance of retaining the latter with 51 seats, it's always good to get a second, third, and nth opinion. So here is every public model's current assessment of both chambers along with projected seat counts where … [Read more...] about Forecaster and model assessments of the House and Senate
DDHQ Election Returns For Arizona, Florida, And Oklahoma
If you’re looking for DDHQ results for tonight in Florida, Oklahoma, and Arizona you’ve come to the right place…mostly. Instead of our top line embeds for key races, we’ll have all the races by county, with maps(!) on our Results page. If you haven’t already signed up for your free account, you’ll just need a minute or so to do so and you’ll be set. While you’re waiting … [Read more...] about DDHQ Election Returns For Arizona, Florida, And Oklahoma
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update August 27, 2018
As we approach the 2-month mark until Election Day 2018, the Øptimus Model remains steady at the aggregate levels for both the House and Senate. Republicans remain the strong favorites to retain control of the Senate, while Democrats are favored to take the House. With 7 Senate races in toss-up or lean territory, and the House even less solidified, the opportunity for … [Read more...] about Øptimus Legislative Model: Update August 27, 2018