Today we’ll continue our look at Minnesota’s competitive House elections. We will focus now on the districts where Republicans are in serious danger, MN-2 and MN-3. Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district – containing the cities of… Read More
State Spotlight: Minnesota, From 2012 to Today, Pt. 1
Minnesota is one of the key states that will decide control of the House in this year’s midterm election. And Minnesota is unique in at least one regard: this is probably the only state where… Read More
Forecaster and model assessments of the House and Senate
While we have our own House and Senate model, which currently give the Democrats an 80.13% chance of winning the former with 224 seats, and the Republicans an 84.77% chance of retaining the latter with… Read More
DDHQ Election Returns For Arizona, Florida, And Oklahoma
If you’re looking for DDHQ results for tonight in Florida, Oklahoma, and Arizona you’ve come to the right place…mostly. Instead of our top line embeds for key races, we’ll have all the races by county,… Read More
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update August 27, 2018
As we approach the 2-month mark until Election Day 2018, the Øptimus Model remains steady at the aggregate levels for both the House and Senate. Republicans remain the strong favorites to retain control of the Senate,… Read More
House District Spotlight: Iowa-1
It’s become cliche to talk about the role of midwestern whites in elevating Donald Trump to the White House. But if you were looking for a Ground Zero in midwestern whites’ abandonment of the Democratic… Read More
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update August 20, 2018
It’s 79 days til election day and here is your Øptimus legislative model update. With less than 80 days left to go until Election Day, the general setup for the House and Senate continues to take… Read More
House District Spotlight: Iowa-3
Iowa’s 3rd Congressional district – represented by David Young (R) since Tom Latham’s retirement in 2014 – is one of the key districts to watch during the November midterms. This swingy R+1 district – encompassing… Read More
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update August 14, 2018
It’s 83 days til election day and here is your Øptimus legislative model update. This weeks model incorporates primary results from KS, MI, MO and WA. Beyond these and the usual flow of individual race… Read More