A competitive race begets more competitive races. That is what happened in 2018 when Robert "Beto" O’Rourke lost the 2018 Senate race to Ted Cruz by under 3%. Democrats flipped two Congressional districts, two State Senate districts, 12 State Representative districts, and gave incumbent Republicans a scare in numerous others. Biden is presently polling competitively with Trump … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (3/3)
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Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (2/3)
Updates to Part 1: We at DDHQ yesterday moved TX-06 to Likely R, and FiveThirtyEight moved TX-24 to Toss-Up. The NRCC announced they would spend an additional 772K on ads in TX-24. Robert "Beto" O’Rourke's 2018 political coalition shattered the Texas Republican Gerrymander. Districts designed to safely reelect incumbent Republicans became marginal races. … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (2/3)
Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (1/3)
Everything is bigger in Texas, including the list of battleground Congressional districts. Both parties are contesting seats in the Lone Star state, with varying degrees of success. Texas’s congressional map was not designed to be this competitive – only one seat of 36 was marginal in 2012. The Republican-controlled State Legislature carved up Democratic communities and paired … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (1/3)
Texas Presidential Polling…The Devil Is In The Crosstabs
Whenever there is a new poll of Texas released, there are a ton of hot takes on Twitter. Old believers of Texas as the great blue whale for the Democrats move to dismiss the poll, saying that Texas has looked good for Democrats in the past, but that they just can’t seem to pull it off. There are others who say that the numbers are real, and are a result of inevitable … [Read more...] about Texas Presidential Polling…The Devil Is In The Crosstabs
Primary Runoffs In Alabama and Texas, Plus Primaries In Maine
Polls close in all three states at 8pm eastern (except for western parts of Texas, which close an hour later). … [Read more...] about Primary Runoffs In Alabama and Texas, Plus Primaries In Maine