We have Saturday elections in the Lone Star State today, where voters are heading to the polls to choose their local leaders. We'll have the results of mayoral contests in San Antonio, Dallas, Fort Worth, Arlington, and Garland. Each race features an incumbent facing a host of challengers. In all races, if no candidate achieves a 50%+1 majority of the vote, the top two … [Read more...] about Election Results: Mayoral Elections in Texas
The strength of education polarization broke historical precedent in 2022 US House races, overpowering “down-ballot lag,” which occurs when changes in partisan patterns appear first at the presidential level, to drive continued realignment during this midterm cycle. Education polarization drove rapid and notable realignment between the 2012 and 2020 presidential elections, and … [Read more...] about Roe Overturn Led to Historic Realignment in 2022 Midterms
It's the second day of municipal runoffs in Texas. We'll be tracking the results of the Laredo mayoral race as well as the city council races in El Paso. In all four of these races, no candidate achieved a 50%+1 majority in the November 8th general election. You can check out the results from the municipal runoffs in Austin and Corpus Christi which were run this past Tuesday. … [Read more...] about Election Results: Runoff Elections in El Paso and Laredo, TX
Today is the first day of municipal runoffs in Texas. We'll be tracking the results of the Austin mayoral race as well as the city council races in Austin and Corpus Christi. In all seven of these races, no candidate achieved a 50%+1 majority in the November 8th general election. On Saturday, we will be tracking the results of the El Paso and Laredo municipal runoffs. We will … [Read more...] about Election Results: Runoff Elections in Austin and Corpus Christi, TX
Through the majority of the 2022 midterm election cycle, the Supreme Court's decision in Dobbs v. Jackson (overturning the longstanding precedent of Roe v. Wade) has dominated headlines and analysis. Although Democrats enjoyed a strong late summer bump, ostensibly fueled by the decision, GOP candidates have substantially gained in polling completed throughout October, in the … [Read more...] about How Will the Death of Roe Affect Partisan Realignment in the 2022 Midterms?