I wanted to write something about the prospects of the Republican and Democratic Parties, at least in the immediate future, but on a national scale, I am throwing my hands in the air here. President Trump lost re-election with the same electorate that delivered more state legislative seats and Congressional seats than the midterm. President Trump would lose the popular vote by … [Read more...] about Reading The Electoral Signs
One of the metrics by which one can measure race competitiveness is money - how much candidates are raising, and where people are spending. A bunch of recent stories show the problems for the GOP, and why any tightening narrative should be treated with caution. Let's start with the Presidential race, where dual stories around Joe Biden's and Donald Trump's finances have … [Read more...] about The Race For Cash Doesn’t Point To A Tightening Race
Ah, Blue Texas, the dream of so many, you may be here. Sunday saw two polls - a University of Texas at Tyler poll showing Biden +5 and a CBS/YouGov showing Trump +1 - both showing Democrats competitive in the Lone Star State, and reignited the 18 month long debate about whether the Biden campaign should just throw everything at the core map or expand into Texas, Georgia, Iowa, … [Read more...] about Turning Texas Blue, It’s Not Just About Biden, The Senate, Or Even The House. State Legislatures Are Important Too.