Voters in Louisiana’s Second Congressional district vote in a special Congressional election runoff tomorrow. LA-02 became vacant when incumbent Democrat Cedric Richmond resigned January 15 to join the Biden administration. None of the 15 candidates running to replace Richmond won a majority of support in the all-party March 20 special election, necessitating a runoff under … [Read more...] about Previewing the Special Election Runoff for Louisiana’s Second Congressional District
The 2020 Congressional Election did not go the way Democrats hoped. National Democrats expected to gain seats, but results so far are a net loss. The results vindicated the National Republican Congressional Committee who expected to narrow the Democratic majority by picking off vulnerable Congressional Democrats and holding the line in Republican seats across the country. Over … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races: What Happened?
Two months ago, we began a series examining competitive Congressional districts and why exactly they are competitive. The political environment since we wrote these articles. Over 90 million voters have voted early and Election Day is a few days away. Some fundamentals have shifted with time, but the districts remain competitive. Indiana’s 5th District – Originally … [Read more...] about Revisiting Our Profiled Swing Seats
A competitive race begets more competitive races. That is what happened in 2018 when Robert "Beto" O’Rourke lost the 2018 Senate race to Ted Cruz by under 3%. Democrats flipped two Congressional districts, two State Senate districts, 12 State Representative districts, and gave incumbent Republicans a scare in numerous others. Biden is presently polling competitively with Trump … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (3/3)
Updates to Part 1: We at DDHQ yesterday moved TX-06 to Likely R, and FiveThirtyEight moved TX-24 to Toss-Up. The NRCC announced they would spend an additional 772K on ads in TX-24. Robert "Beto" O’Rourke's 2018 political coalition shattered the Texas Republican Gerrymander. Districts designed to safely reelect incumbent Republicans became marginal races. … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (2/3)