In the 2012 Presidential Election, Democrat Barack Obama decisively defeated Republican Mitt Romney. Obama won 332 electoral votes and the national Presidential popular vote by nearly 4%. Despite this crushing victory, Obama headed into his second term in office without a majority in the US House. House Republicans lost the popular vote by 1% but still won a 234-201 majority in … [Read more...] about The US House Was Biased Toward Democrats in 2022: Why Republicans Are Developing a Geography Problem
Gerrymandering
Redistricting: It’s all About the Incumbents (GA, ME, NE, OR, TX)
Three states completed their formal mapping processes in the two weeks since Decision Desk HQ last examined redistricting. Even more states began their process by publishing preliminary maps or proposals. State legislatures have sole power over redistricting in all five states examined today and in each state the party that controls the legislature chose protection of its … [Read more...] about Redistricting: It’s all About the Incumbents (GA, ME, NE, OR, TX)
Redistricting: Mid-September Proposed Maps Part 2 (AK, CO, IA, OH)
Many states released redistricting proposals this week, so Decision Desk HQ split our analysis in two articles. Our first analysis covered Arkansas, Idaho, Indiana, Nebraska, and other lesser developments. Today’s article (re)examines states that initially focused on legislative lines or that released maps later in the week: Alaska, Colorado, Iowa, and Ohio. Alaska The Last … [Read more...] about Redistricting: Mid-September Proposed Maps Part 2 (AK, CO, IA, OH)
Redistricting: Mid-September Proposed Maps Part 1 (AR, ID, IN, NE)
The nationwide redistricting process accelerated this past week with more than ten states releasing provisional maps or redistricting materials. Decision Desk Headquarters split our analysis into two parts: the states that included Congressional districts in their proposals at the time of writing and the states that focused on legislative lines. Arkansas Arkansas is an … [Read more...] about Redistricting: Mid-September Proposed Maps Part 1 (AR, ID, IN, NE)
Redistricting: Oregon and Colorado Release Preliminary Maps
Two states, Oregon and Colorado, released preliminary redistricting maps on September 3rd. This first step in Oregon’s redistricting process involved releasing multiple, different maps, each drawn by a different group of state legislators. Colorado began its redistricting process months ago with public input forums for the state’s new redistricting commission. Colorado’s recent … [Read more...] about Redistricting: Oregon and Colorado Release Preliminary Maps