Good morning, and thank you for stopping by the DDHQ Morning News Spotlight. An 18-term Republican congressman who voted to impeach former President Trump has announced his retirement, and the Arizona Supreme Court has blocked a lawsuit that seeks to end early voting in the state. Morning Headlines US Rep. Fred Upton of Michigan announced his retirement from Congress. He … [Read more...] about DDHQ Morning News Spotlight: April 6, 2022
The special election runoff for Texas’s Sixth Congressional district is a sleepier affair than most other special elections. Total turnout for the May blanket (all party) primary was 53K less than turnout for the special election in New Mexico’s First District despite TX-06 having over 100K more (ACS projected) residents than NM-01. Democratic voters and analysts lost interest … [Read more...] about The Special Election Runoff in Texas’s Sixth Congressional District
The 2020 Congressional Election did not go the way Democrats hoped. National Democrats expected to gain seats, but results so far are a net loss. The results vindicated the National Republican Congressional Committee who expected to narrow the Democratic majority by picking off vulnerable Congressional Democrats and holding the line in Republican seats across the country. Over … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races: What Happened?
With 9 weeks to go until Election Day, our model displays a continuing shift towards Democratic chances in the House while the Senate moves more modestly towards Democrats as well. The big takeaway this week is that 4 House races (WA08, KS03, MN03, OH12) moved 3% or more away from the GOP as Democratic IE spending started pouring in. The generic ballot national environment … [Read more...] about Øptimus Legislative Model: Update September 3, 2018
As we approach the 2-month mark until Election Day 2018, the Øptimus Model remains steady at the aggregate levels for both the House and Senate. Republicans remain the strong favorites to retain control of the Senate, while Democrats are favored to take the House. With 7 Senate races in toss-up or lean territory, and the House even less solidified, the opportunity for … [Read more...] about Øptimus Legislative Model: Update August 27, 2018