The 2020 Congressional Election did not go the way Democrats hoped. National Democrats expected to gain seats, but results so far are a net loss. The results vindicated the National Republican Congressional Committee who expected to narrow the Democratic majority by picking off vulnerable Congressional Democrats and holding the line in Republican seats across the country. Over … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races: What Happened?
Two months ago, we began a series examining competitive Congressional districts and why exactly they are competitive. The political environment since we wrote these articles. Over 90 million voters have voted early and Election Day is a few days away. Some fundamentals have shifted with time, but the districts remain competitive. Indiana’s 5th District – Originally … [Read more...] about Revisiting Our Profiled Swing Seats
Arizona is a frontline battleground state at every level of government. Prognosticators agree that Biden and Trump are in a close race for Arizona’s eleven electoral votes, albeit one with a consistent Biden lead in polling. We perceive Arizona’s Senate race as less competitive than the presidential topline, but this is because Democratic nominee Mark Kelly pushed the seat … [Read more...] about Swing Seats: Arizona 6