Now that Memorial Day is here and summer’s just around the corner, it’s a great time to check back in on the 2024 Senate map. If you recall, Republicans possess an advantage this cycle as they only have to defend 11 seats, while the Democrats are tasked with protecting 20 seats. On top of that, Democrats must defend three seats in states where Donald Trump won in 2016 and … [Read more...] about 2024 Senate Map Update: Mitch McConnell’s Surprising Assessment of the Battle for the Majority
Arizona Senate
Can Democrats Hold the Senate in 2024? A First Look at the Imposing Senate Map
Senate Democrats are now set to spend two more years in the majority, and that’s before voters in Georgia decide the final seat in a December 6th run-off. By this point, of course, even the most casual follower of politics should know just how crucial every single seat in the upper chamber can be. Not only would a 51st Senate seat give Democrats some breathing room, and … [Read more...] about Can Democrats Hold the Senate in 2024? A First Look at the Imposing Senate Map
How the Senate Landscape Has Shifted and What It Looks Like Now
Way back before Labor Day, I took an in-depth examination of the 2022 Senate landscape and the eight races poised to decide which party will hold the majority. Over the past month and half, of course, there’s been quite a bit of movement across the political landscape. So with just three weeks to go, I thought the best method to judge where we are now is to probe how all … [Read more...] about How the Senate Landscape Has Shifted and What It Looks Like Now
The 8 Races That Will Decide Control of the Senate
As Labor Day nears, the battle for the Senate comes into focus. I see control of the evenly split upper chamber being decided by eight races, four in Democratic-held seats and four in Republican-held ones. Sure, there are other contests that I theoretically could’ve included here. It would’ve been easy, for instance, to expand this list out to ten by including Colorado … [Read more...] about The 8 Races That Will Decide Control of the Senate
Decision Desk HQ 2022 Forecast Model: Answering Some Of Your Questions
Since we launched our 2022 forecast model yesterday, we’ve received a lot of interest, great feedback, and some less than great feedback. You have to take the good with the bad and we’re happy to be part of the conversation of an engaged election audience. If you haven't already, check out our model release video with Professor of Data Science Liberty Vittert. She'll be … [Read more...] about Decision Desk HQ 2022 Forecast Model: Answering Some Of Your Questions