DCCC Triples Investment in Montana Special Congressional Race

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is investing an additional $400,000 in Quist’s campaign to fill the Montana congressional seat left vacant when former Rep. Ryan Zinke was sworn in as the interior secretary, DCCC spokeswoman Meredith Kelly told HuffPost.

The new donation brings the DCCC’s total investment in Quist to $600,000. On April 20, the DCCC invested $200,000 in the folk singer, which was used to buy political ads for Quist’s campaign. According to Kelly, the additional money will be invested in a program aimed at getting likely independent and Democratic voters to vote by mail, which accounts for approximately 60 percent of Montana’s voters, as well as to buy more TV ads.

Source: Huffington Post

After news had broke earlier that national Democrats were holding back from supporting Quist, the DCCC tripled its investment in the race. Republicans are expected to outspend them in defending the seat vacated by now-Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke. Timing matters: 344,290 mail-in ballots have been sent out by the state and just over 1700 have been received. That latter figure will need to balloon if Quist is going to have any chance of pulling off an upset.

The district hasn’t gone Democratic in decades, but the state has a history of voting that way for other offices: the current Governor, and his predecessor, were both Democrats, and from January 2007 to January 2015, both of the state’s Senators were Democrats. We anticipate the race to be somewhat close, but favor Greg Gianforte because of it’s overall lean. But this is a special election, and as we saw in Kansas, even “safe” seats can surprise.