DDHQ 2018 House Updates – October 9, 2017

Welcome to our daily DDHQ House Elections Updates. I’m your host, G. Elliott Morris. Questions, comments, concerns? Feel free to pass along via email or twitter. There are 393 days until the 2018 midterm elections. Democrats are up in the generic ballot by 8.2% and we rate 196 seats as Safe, Likely or Lean Democratic, 12 as Tossup, and 227 as Safe, Likely, or Lean Republican. Check our full U.S. House forecast here and read our full list of ratings here


Here’s what happened in elections to the U.S. House over the weekend, October 7 – 9, 2017.


MA-03: Another Democratic candidate has joined this race to succeed retiring Rep. Niki Tsongas. State Rep. Linda Dean Campbell is the newest face in this Merrimack Valley district, and POLITICO reports that she’s touting her moderate policy positions as an asset. Campbell may have a point in that the voters of MA-03 chose the Republican option In the 2012 U.S. Senate race in Massachusetts, the 2013 Senate special election, and the 2014 gubernatorial election. Massachusetts’ third is also a district in the top 20% for income in the United States, with a median of $70k. A combined 80% have a white collar or sales/services job. This makes the district explicitly business-friendly, and we can imagine that a moderate Rep. Campbell may have more support than a more left-leaning Democrat who wants taxes raised, etc. At the end of the day, Campbell would be the sixth Democrat running for the party’s nomination in the district, if she does decide to run.


NH-01: The surprise retirement announcement by Rep. Carol Shea-Porter ran its news cycle course over the weekend. We touched on it here.


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