Missouri Senator Claire McCaskill’s (D) race against attorney general Josh Hawley (R) is one of the key races that will decide control of the Senate in this November’s midterm election. Despite Missouri’s steady march to… Read More
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update September 17, 2018
With 50 days left until Election Day, our model moves slightly towards Republicans this week in the aggregate. The generic ballot national environment continued to go up for Democrats, now sitting at D+9.3, but the… Read More
Forecaster and model assessments of the House and Senate
While we have our own House and Senate model, which currently give the Democrats an 80.13% chance of winning the former with 224 seats, and the Republicans an 84.77% chance of retaining the latter with… Read More
Senate Model Comparison: Øptimus and FiveThirtyEight’s Predictions
Earlier today, FiveThirtyEight released their much-anticipated Senate model. We thought it’d be interesting to see how the Øptimus model predictions compare to theirs. The numbers below are all based off of our 9/11 model update and… Read More
Rhode Island Primary Preview
Fourty-seven states down, two to go in primary 2018. Tonight, it’s Rhode Island’s turn. The state has been lopsidedly Democratic in the Presidential vote for decades, but it elected Republican Governors for twelve straight years… Read More
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update September 10, 2018
With less than 2 months until Election Day, our model continues to shift towards Democratic control in the House while holding steady on Republican chances in the Senate. The generic ballot national environment generates most… Read More
State Spotlight: Indiana 2012
Joe Donnelly (D) is one of the most vulnerable senators up for reelection this November, and he faces an uphill battle against Republican opponent Mike Braun. Donnelly’s first victory – in the wake of Republican Richard… Read More
Analyzing Delaware’s State Legislature Post-Primary
Now that the great state of Delaware has finished their primaries, DecisionDeskHQ is able to rate their state legislatures. Though Democrats could have lost control of the State Senate back in February 2017 during a… Read More
It’s Primary Day In Delaware. And There’s A Chance For An Upset In A US Senate Race.
It’s a somewhat unusual Thursday election day (next Thursday is the final primary day, New York state offices) but there’s the potential it will be an interesting one. Tom Carper is a low key, three… Read More
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update September 3, 2018
With 9 weeks to go until Election Day, our model displays a continuing shift towards Democratic chances in the House while the Senate moves more modestly towards Democrats as well. The big takeaway this week… Read More