This week, we’ve seen a couple more hits to the Senate GOP. This time, it’s not just direct Senate polling, but also a poll of Presidential approval from Civiqs, and the findings out of Montana are disastrous for the GOP. Far from Donald Trump being the tide that lifts all GOP boats in the state,his approval numbers are now down to -7 net, 45%-52% approve-disapprove. In this … [Read more...] about Montana Senator Steve Daines Just Got A Piece Of Bad News
Senate
Jack Kersting’s Senate Control Forecast: A Coin Flip
The 2020 election isn't just about the Presidential election, the Senate race is just as important. And as of today, it is shaping up to be a good one. I just finished my Senate forecast, and it is almost a coin flip at the moment. The Republicans are favored in 51, counting the seats not up for election, and Democrats at 49. The map below shows the current projection. … [Read more...] about Jack Kersting’s Senate Control Forecast: A Coin Flip
Fundraising Boosts Dems’ Senate Chances
With the release of Q1 FEC filings this week, we’ve been able to see which campaigns have been prolific fundraisers and which ones are in some amount of trouble. On the whole, the releases are good news for Democrats trying to win the Senate in 2020, as Democrats outraised Republicans in eight races with Republican incumbents - although, three of those (Alaska, Kentucky, and … [Read more...] about Fundraising Boosts Dems’ Senate Chances
The GOP’s Best Hope At Holding The Senate? Triage
With Thursday’s release of a Public Policy Polling poll from Montana showing a tied race in Montana’s Senate race between Republican incumbent Senator Steve Daines and incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Bullock, we finally have a poll from most every competitive Senate race in 2020. The Democrats need four gains, given Alabama will go to the GOP, to get to a 50/50 tie, where … [Read more...] about The GOP’s Best Hope At Holding The Senate? Triage
Michigan Senate 2018: Stabenow Wins a 4th Term, But It’s Close(-ish)
Continuing our look at Michigan, while the Democrats won the open Gubernatorial race there by a comfortable 10% last year, the Senatorial result was something better for Republicans. Senator Debbie Stabenow (D) was initially elected to the chamber in 2000, after representing a swingy Lansing-area seat in the House. She was reelected by increasingly large margins in 2006 and … [Read more...] about Michigan Senate 2018: Stabenow Wins a 4th Term, But It’s Close(-ish)