Introduction In this post, we’ll be presenting a preliminary analysis of the DecisionDeskHQ/Øptimus forecast for the 2020 General Election (following on a similar analysis for the 2018 midterms). It’s been a riveting year for elections and forecasts across the board, and we’re happy with the model’s performance. Here’s an outline of what we’ll be covering - Model … [Read more...] about 2020 DDHQ/Øptimus Forecast Model- How Well Did We Do?
Senate
Election Postmortem
I had planned to write my election wrap-up in the days following the election. But because there were so many uncalled states and races, I did not have enough information to form any thoughts. Two weeks have now passed since the election, and it has given me lots of time to look through election results and digest the outcome of several key races. So, with that said, here are … [Read more...] about Election Postmortem
The Georgia Senate Special Election, Explained
Georgia has the distinction of being the only state in the country with both of its U.S. Senate seats on the ballot this cycle. Longtime Republican Sen. Johnny Isakson chose to retire at the end of 2019 due to his ongoing battle with Parkinson's Disease. This retirement triggered a special election for the remainder of Isakson's term, which is set to expire in 2023. Gov. Brian … [Read more...] about The Georgia Senate Special Election, Explained
Georgia Senate: Perdue and Ossoff Locked in Tight Race As Election Nears
The Peach State holds the distinction of being the only state in the country with two Senate races on the ballot in November. Today, we are going to look at the regularly scheduled election, where Republican Sen. David Perdue is facing a challenge from investigative journalist and former congressional candidate Jon Ossoff. Perdue, a former Fortune 500 CEO, was first elected … [Read more...] about Georgia Senate: Perdue and Ossoff Locked in Tight Race As Election Nears
Senate GOP Sees Rare Offensive Opportunity in Michigan
Senate Republicans are largely on the defensive this cycle. With several Republican incumbents trailing in both fundraising and in polling, a Senate race in the Great Lake State has presented them with a rare offensive opportunity. In Michigan, first-term Democratic Sen. Gary Peters is running for a second term. He was first elected in the 2014 midterm elections. A former … [Read more...] about Senate GOP Sees Rare Offensive Opportunity in Michigan