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Elections Returns, Analysis and Projections

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The IA Democratic Caucus…It’s A Bit Different Than A Regular Election

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Since the caucus process is a bit different, to say the least, from a regular primary, we wanted to take a minute to rundown how we anticipate the evening going and how we’ll be handling the results. Unlike a primary or general election, a caucus is a privately organized and run event by the Iowa Democratic party. They will be providing the results to us on a rolling basis … [Read more...] about The IA Democratic Caucus…It’s A Bit Different Than A Regular Election

#UK2019: What To Watch

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Election night in the UK!   Its got everything an election nerd wants for Christmas: Viral Commercials Beautiful (Math) Models Dogs at Polling Locations As per usual we got the insiders look at what to watch on election night.  Instead of counties, its "constituencies" and we have figured out which ones to care about and when they report all in this doc right … [Read more...] about #UK2019: What To Watch

UK Election: Takeaways From The Weekend’s Polling

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There's been a rush of UK polling this weekend, as pollsters get polls out on the final weekend before voters go to the polls. There are plenty of takeaways from the data, but here are 5 main takeaways:   The Labour Squeeze Has Stopped   One of the arguments made in favour of the Labour Party's chance in this election was the fact that in 2017, Labour … [Read more...] about UK Election: Takeaways From The Weekend’s Polling

UK Election Reset: Tories Still Favourites

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Forecasting any election is a challenge. There’s always a risk that analysts see what they expect to see and discount data points that contradict those expectations. We may be seeing the beginnings of that in the run up to next week’s UK elections. If it does happen, it won’t be the first time. During the BBC Election Night broadcast of 1992, Malcolm Rifkind, … [Read more...] about UK Election Reset: Tories Still Favourites

Louisiana Governor Run-Off: What To Watch

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So tonight we have a close Governor Run-off Race in Louisiana.  We have a lot of great Election Data and Analysis coming out of DDHQ tonight: We have our "Not an Exit, Exit Poll" We'll be testing *LIVE* Precinct Results  We'll be having our Vote Goal Summary Sheet so you can follow along and see what the win conditions are and how these things are called You can … [Read more...] about Louisiana Governor Run-Off: What To Watch