You don’t need me to tell you Joe Biden is in trouble. With the President approaching his second July Fourth in office, inflation is at its highest level in a generation, his social spending bill remains stalled in the Senate and the latest Gallup Poll found his approval rating to be just 41% (FiveThirtyEight’s average is even lower). As a result, Democrats trail … [Read more...] about Four Months Out From Midterms: Joe Biden’s July 4th and How It Compares to His Predecessors
LAST UPDATED: November 24th, 2020 Introduction In this post, we’ll be presenting a preliminary analysis of the DecisionDeskHQ/Øptimus forecast for the 2020 General Election (following on a similar analysis for the 2018 midterms). It’s been a riveting year for elections and forecasts across the board, and we’re happy with the model’s performance. Here’s an outline of what … [Read more...] about 2020 DDHQ/Øptimus Forecast Model- How Well Did We Do?
This week The Harvard Data Science Review released its special edition on Predicting the 2020 Elections. This peer-reviewed academic journal that covers the science of data looked at models from The Economist, Allan Lichtman as well as DDHQ's own 2020 Election Forecast. Liberty Vittert an editor of HDSR wrote - Øptimus, in collaboration with Decision Desk HQ, presents both … [Read more...] about DDHQ 2020 Election Forecast Featured in The Harvard Data Science Review
After years of trying and coming up short, can Democrats finally achieve their goal of turning Georgia blue? Georgia has been a reliably Republican state in presidential politics for decades now. Since 1984, only one Democratic presidential candidate has carried the Peach State: Bill Clinton in 1992. Since then, Democrats have never made a serious play for the state's … [Read more...] about Once Reliably Republican, Georgia Emerges As Presidential Battleground
The Peach State holds the distinction of being the only state in the country with two Senate races on the ballot in November. Today, we are going to look at the regularly scheduled election, where Republican Sen. David Perdue is facing a challenge from investigative journalist and former congressional candidate Jon Ossoff. Perdue, a former Fortune 500 CEO, was first elected … [Read more...] about Georgia Senate: Perdue and Ossoff Locked in Tight Race As Election Nears