Introduction In this post, we’ll be presenting a preliminary analysis of the DecisionDeskHQ/Øptimus forecast for the 2020 General Election (following on a similar analysis for the 2018 midterms). It’s been a riveting year for elections and forecasts across the board, and we’re happy with the model’s performance. Here’s an outline of what we’ll be covering - Model … [Read more...] about 2020 DDHQ/Øptimus Forecast Model- How Well Did We Do?
This week The Harvard Data Science Review released its special edition on Predicting the 2020 Elections. This peer-reviewed academic journal that covers the science of data looked at models from The Economist, Allan Lichtman as well as DDHQ's own 2020 Election Forecast. Liberty Vittert an editor of HDSR wrote - Øptimus, in collaboration with Decision Desk HQ, presents both … [Read more...] about DDHQ 2020 Election Forecast Featured in The Harvard Data Science Review
After years of trying and coming up short, can Democrats finally achieve their goal of turning Georgia blue? Georgia has been a reliably Republican state in presidential politics for decades now. Since 1984, only one Democratic presidential candidate has carried the Peach State: Bill Clinton in 1992. Since then, Democrats have never made a serious play for the state's … [Read more...] about Once Reliably Republican, Georgia Emerges As Presidential Battleground
The Peach State holds the distinction of being the only state in the country with two Senate races on the ballot in November. Today, we are going to look at the regularly scheduled election, where Republican Sen. David Perdue is facing a challenge from investigative journalist and former congressional candidate Jon Ossoff. Perdue, a former Fortune 500 CEO, was first elected … [Read more...] about Georgia Senate: Perdue and Ossoff Locked in Tight Race As Election Nears
The new year will bring a new class of freshman lawmakers to the U.S. Capitol. Here is a look at the congressional candidates who are overwhelming favorites to be elected to Congress in November. Each are running in districts that are rated as Safe for their party by the forecasters at Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball. These candidates either won primaries for open seats or defeated … [Read more...] about Meet the Next Members of the U.S. House from Safe Seats (Part 2/2)