The 2020 election isn't just about the Presidential election, the Senate race is just as important. And as of today, it is shaping up to be a good one. I just finished my Senate forecast, and it is almost a coin flip at the moment. The Republicans are favored in 51, counting the seats not up for election, and Democrats at 49. The map below shows the current projection. … [Read more...] about Jack Kersting’s Senate Control Forecast: A Coin Flip
Predictions
How Trump is Faring Compared To The 2016 Election
What 2020 is about is can Donald Trump extend his stay at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave for 4 more years. President Trump is a pretty interesting place as of right now. What has kept Trump's re-election hopes high was a strong economy, which has all but come to a complete halt due to COVID-19.But given the circumstances, maybe voters are putting of the recent economic struggle when … [Read more...] about How Trump is Faring Compared To The 2016 Election
UK Polling & Seat Projections: Bet on Boris
We have been doing polling and seat projection aggregation over here at DDHQ and as of this morning it looks like Boris Johnson is coasting to a potentially landslide win. All of the data we are using in this analysis can be found here. Polling Aggregation According to our polling aggregator, the Conservative Party is currently in the lead with 43% of the … [Read more...] about UK Polling & Seat Projections: Bet on Boris
Watch Tonight’s Election Like A Pro
As DDHQ prepares for an epic 2020 election season we are continuing to innovate how we deliver election data to our clients and the general public. For the 2019 general elections tonight we're taking another stab at the heart of election night confusion by providing turnout projections in MS, KY, and select Virginia state senate and house of delegates districts as votes are … [Read more...] about Watch Tonight’s Election Like A Pro
The Baseline Problem
When Election Twitter explores the result of a special or regular election, comparisons to previous elections inevitably arise, as this niche world obsessed with numbers attempts to deduce what has changed, and, for the multitude of partisans involved, which side benefited from the race. Someone unfamiliar with the particularities of contests may just assume that the party … [Read more...] about The Baseline Problem