Recently, the polling firm Morning Consult released a slew of polls from Senate battlegrounds conducted in the period of September 11th to the 20th. It brought good news for Democrats but one of their biggest obstacles is that they need offensive targets in right leaning seats or even deep red states. Because of this, they will need to rely on split ticket voting, something … [Read more...] about Is Split Ticket Voting Dead?
Whenever there is a new poll of Texas released, there are a ton of hot takes on Twitter. Old believers of Texas as the great blue whale for the Democrats move to dismiss the poll, saying that Texas has looked good for Democrats in the past, but that they just can’t seem to pull it off. There are others who say that the numbers are real, and are a result of inevitable … [Read more...] about Texas Presidential Polling…The Devil Is In The Crosstabs
One of the ways people can analyze national polls is whether the state polls that are being released are in the same universe as the national polls - whether a national environment of a given size is being reflected in the state polling. Take the New York Times/Siena polling released last month, and you'll see the perfect example of state polls that make sense with their … [Read more...] about State Polling Provides Little Solace For The President
What 2020 is about is can Donald Trump extend his stay at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave for 4 more years. President Trump is a pretty interesting place as of right now. What has kept Trump's re-election hopes high was a strong economy, which has all but come to a complete halt due to COVID-19.But given the circumstances, maybe voters are putting of the recent economic struggle when … [Read more...] about How Trump is Faring Compared To The 2016 Election
We have been doing polling and seat projection aggregation over here at DDHQ and as of this morning it looks like Boris Johnson is coasting to a potentially landslide win. All of the data we are using in this analysis can be found here. Polling Aggregation According to our polling aggregator, the Conservative Party is currently in the lead with 43% of the … [Read more...] about UK Polling & Seat Projections: Bet on Boris