As the 2020 election approached, Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District seemed to be on the verge of a transformation. After all, the area was getting more and more progressive while being represented by an extremely conservative Congressman. As a result, prognosticators pegged PA-10 as the most flippable House seat in the state. Despite all that, GOP incumbent Rep. … [Read more...] about PA-10: An In-Depth Look at How Republican Scott Perry Won Re-Election
Georgia farmers got huge news out of Washington this week. House Democrats chose Rep. David Scott, a Blue Dog Democrat who was first elected to the House in 2002, to chair the powerful Agriculture Committee, following Chairman Collin Peterson's defeat in Minnesota. The 75-year-old Democrat from Atlanta, who entered the race with Peterson's endorsement, handily defeated fellow … [Read more...] about Georgia Rep. David Scott Becomes Chairman of Agriculture Committee
LAST UPDATED: November 24th, 2020 Introduction In this post, we’ll be presenting a preliminary analysis of the DecisionDeskHQ/Øptimus forecast for the 2020 General Election (following on a similar analysis for the 2018 midterms). It’s been a riveting year for elections and forecasts across the board, and we’re happy with the model’s performance. Here’s an outline of what … [Read more...] about 2020 DDHQ/Øptimus Forecast Model- How Well Did We Do?
I had planned to write my election wrap-up in the days following the election. But because there were so many uncalled states and races, I did not have enough information to form any thoughts. Two weeks have now passed since the election, and it has given me lots of time to look through election results and digest the outcome of several key races. So, with that said, here are … [Read more...] about Election Postmortem
The 2020 Congressional Election did not go the way Democrats hoped. National Democrats expected to gain seats, but results so far are a net loss. The results vindicated the National Republican Congressional Committee who expected to narrow the Democratic majority by picking off vulnerable Congressional Democrats and holding the line in Republican seats across the country. Over … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races: What Happened?