***UPDATED 1/4/2021*** The long and exciting election season will conclude on January 5th with the Georgia Runoffs. Two remaining elections - David Perdue (R) vs. Jon Ossoff (D), and Kelly Loeffler (R) vs. Raphael Warnock (D) - will determine control of the Senate. In order to have a majority (determined by the Vice Presidential tie breaker), Democrats need to win *both* … [Read more...] about Forecasting the Georgia Senate Runoffs
LAST UPDATED: November 24th, 2020 Introduction In this post, we’ll be presenting a preliminary analysis of the DecisionDeskHQ/Øptimus forecast for the 2020 General Election (following on a similar analysis for the 2018 midterms). It’s been a riveting year for elections and forecasts across the board, and we’re happy with the model’s performance. Here’s an outline of what … [Read more...] about 2020 DDHQ/Øptimus Forecast Model- How Well Did We Do?
This week The Harvard Data Science Review released its special edition on Predicting the 2020 Elections. This peer-reviewed academic journal that covers the science of data looked at models from The Economist, Allan Lichtman as well as DDHQ's own 2020 Election Forecast. Liberty Vittert an editor of HDSR wrote - Øptimus, in collaboration with Decision Desk HQ, presents both … [Read more...] about DDHQ 2020 Election Forecast Featured in The Harvard Data Science Review
As the party conventions are set to kick off, we are presenting the 2020 Decision Desk HQ Election Forecasting Model, developed in conjunction with 0ptimus Analytics for the second straight cycle. Election models are no longer unique qualitative takes on a political elections. Rather, they have become somewhat commonplace analysis pieces that permeate the discussions among … [Read more...] about Presenting the DDHQ-0ptimus 2020 Election Forecast Model