Way back before Labor Day, I took an in-depth examination of the 2022 Senate landscape and the eight races poised to decide which party will hold the majority. Over the past month and half, of course, there’s been quite a bit of movement across the political landscape. So with just three weeks to go, I thought the best method to judge where we are now is to probe how all … [Read more...] about How the Senate Landscape Has Shifted and What It Looks Like Now
Early voting has already begun in Minnesota, and for the second election cycle in a row, a deceased candidate will appear on the ballot in a key U.S. House race. What happened? Paula Overby, the Legal Marijuana Now Party candidate in the heated race for Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District, died on Oct. 5 due to heart complications, according to her son. An official … [Read more...] about Candidate Death Throws Pivotal Minnesota House Race Into Chaos… Again
***UPDATED 1/4/2021*** The long and exciting election season will conclude on January 5th with the Georgia Runoffs. Two remaining elections - David Perdue (R) vs. Jon Ossoff (D), and Kelly Loeffler (R) vs. Raphael Warnock (D) - will determine control of the Senate. In order to have a majority (determined by the Vice Presidential tie breaker), Democrats need to win *both* … [Read more...] about Forecasting the Georgia Senate Runoffs
LAST UPDATED: November 24th, 2020 Introduction In this post, we’ll be presenting a preliminary analysis of the DecisionDeskHQ/Øptimus forecast for the 2020 General Election (following on a similar analysis for the 2018 midterms). It’s been a riveting year for elections and forecasts across the board, and we’re happy with the model’s performance. Here’s an outline of what … [Read more...] about 2020 DDHQ/Øptimus Forecast Model- How Well Did We Do?
This week The Harvard Data Science Review released its special edition on Predicting the 2020 Elections. This peer-reviewed academic journal that covers the science of data looked at models from The Economist, Allan Lichtman as well as DDHQ's own 2020 Election Forecast. Liberty Vittert an editor of HDSR wrote - Øptimus, in collaboration with Decision Desk HQ, presents both … [Read more...] about DDHQ 2020 Election Forecast Featured in The Harvard Data Science Review