Tim Scott, the only Black Republican in the United States Senate, announced his candidacy for President of the United States in North Charleston on Monday. Last week, Scott announced that his campaign bought over $5.5 million of ads in the first states of Iowa and New Hampshire, which he also recently visited. Scott will have work to do in the months after announcing his … [Read more...] about South Carolina GOP Senator Tim Scott Joins the Growing 2024 Presidential Field
Analysis
How Ryan Quarles Used Local Endorsements To Take On Big Names and Big Money in the Kentucky GOP Gov. Primary
Kentucky Attorney General Daniel Cameron dominated the Kentucky GOP Governor Primary on May 16, winning nearly half the vote and finishing with a comfortable ~48%-22% lead over the second-place candidate, Kentucky Agricultural Commissioner Ryan Quarles. Cameron was endorsed by Trump and favored throughout the yearlong primary campaign. Most media coverage after Tuesday night … [Read more...] about How Ryan Quarles Used Local Endorsements To Take On Big Names and Big Money in the Kentucky GOP Gov. Primary
Roe Overturn Led to Historic Realignment in 2022 Midterms
The strength of education polarization broke historical precedent in 2022 US House races, overpowering “down-ballot lag,” which occurs when changes in partisan patterns appear first at the presidential level, to drive continued realignment during this midterm cycle. Education polarization drove rapid and notable realignment between the 2012 and 2020 presidential elections, and … [Read more...] about Roe Overturn Led to Historic Realignment in 2022 Midterms
Chicago Mayor Election: How Paul Vallas and Brandon Johnson Can Win Tuesday’s Runoff
With the general election only one day away, moderate Paul Vallas and progressive Brandon Johnson are locked in a dead heat. After the incumbent mayor, Lori Lightfoot, was eliminated in February’s Top-Two primary, Vallas and Johnson have had the stage to themselves as they try to appeal to a broader coalition of voters. While he did not come close to winning a majority of the … [Read more...] about Chicago Mayor Election: How Paul Vallas and Brandon Johnson Can Win Tuesday’s Runoff
Abortion, Voting Rights, And The Wisconsin State Supreme Court—How Education Polarization is Starting to Help Democrats Too
For the past few years, national Democrats have publicly bemoaned how increased education polarization has given Republicans a significant structural advantage in some governing bodies. As white voters without a bachelor’s degree in the Rust Belt shifted to the right, Republicans enjoyed a substantial positive bias in the Electoral College in 2016 and 2020 that seems likely to … [Read more...] about Abortion, Voting Rights, And The Wisconsin State Supreme Court—How Education Polarization is Starting to Help Democrats Too