New York’s Third Congressional District is a surprisingly competitive seat: Democratic Presidential candidates consistently win it by small margins and down ballot contests can get close even with token opposition. Two-term incumbent Tom Suozzi faces broadside attacks and scandals from home, granting an opening for either a Republican or progressive insurgent to hammer … [Read more...] about Noah Rudnick’s Hot Seat: NY-03
Analysis
Michigan Senate 2018: Stabenow Wins a 4th Term, But It’s Close(-ish)
Continuing our look at Michigan, while the Democrats won the open Gubernatorial race there by a comfortable 10% last year, the Senatorial result was something better for Republicans. Senator Debbie Stabenow (D) was initially elected to the chamber in 2000, after representing a swingy Lansing-area seat in the House. She was reelected by increasingly large margins in 2006 and … [Read more...] about Michigan Senate 2018: Stabenow Wins a 4th Term, But It’s Close(-ish)
Net Favorabilty Changes in Presidential Election Cycles
I saw a conversation back and forth earlier this morning on the negative favorability ratings for nearly every Democratic nominee. A tweet by CNN contributor Harry Enten caught my eye: YouGov's latest poll: Dems lead the generic prez ballot by 49% to 40% over Trump, but none of the candidates (save Biden) have a positive net favorable score. (Schultz has by far the worst.) … [Read more...] about Net Favorabilty Changes in Presidential Election Cycles
What The 2018 Texas Senate Results May Tell Us About Beto O’Rourke’s Chances In 2020
Today, the already crowded field for the 2020 Democratic nomination grew as ex-Rep. Beto O'Rourke announced his candidacy. With O'Rourke entering the race, it may be worth looking at how he fared last year. Elected to Congress originally in 2012, O'Rourke represented the strongly Democratic TX-16 (El Paso). After two easy re-elections, he ran statewide for Senate against … [Read more...] about What The 2018 Texas Senate Results May Tell Us About Beto O’Rourke’s Chances In 2020
Michigan 2018: Democrats Fix Their Road to Lansing
After a lackluster showing throughout the region in 2014, Democrats picked up a trio of Governorships in the Great Lakes states in 2018. Two of these states (Illinois & Wisconsin) were gained by defeating Republican incumbents while one, Michigan, was an open contest. Long mentioned as a candidate for statewide office, Democrats ran Gretchen Whitmer for Governor. … [Read more...] about Michigan 2018: Democrats Fix Their Road to Lansing