The 2020 election presents a number of challenges, one of which is predicting turnout. In the past reporting services like Decision Desk HQ used “Precincts Reporting” as the metric to gauge how much of the vote was in in a particular county or state. With more and more people voting early or by mail, even before Covid-19, precincts reporting was becoming less and less useful … [Read more...] about Around The Desk: The DDHQ Turnout Model
Analysis
Once Reliably Republican, Georgia Emerges As Presidential Battleground
After years of trying and coming up short, can Democrats finally achieve their goal of turning Georgia blue? Georgia has been a reliably Republican state in presidential politics for decades now. Since 1984, only one Democratic presidential candidate has carried the Peach State: Bill Clinton in 1992. Since then, Democrats have never made a serious play for the state's … [Read more...] about Once Reliably Republican, Georgia Emerges As Presidential Battleground
Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (2/3)
Updates to Part 1: We at DDHQ yesterday moved TX-06 to Likely R, and FiveThirtyEight moved TX-24 to Toss-Up. The NRCC announced they would spend an additional 772K on ads in TX-24. Robert "Beto" O’Rourke's 2018 political coalition shattered the Texas Republican Gerrymander. Districts designed to safely reelect incumbent Republicans became marginal races. … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (2/3)
Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (1/3)
Everything is bigger in Texas, including the list of battleground Congressional districts. Both parties are contesting seats in the Lone Star state, with varying degrees of success. Texas’s congressional map was not designed to be this competitive – only one seat of 36 was marginal in 2012. The Republican-controlled State Legislature carved up Democratic communities and paired … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (1/3)
Georgia Senate: Perdue and Ossoff Locked in Tight Race As Election Nears
The Peach State holds the distinction of being the only state in the country with two Senate races on the ballot in November. Today, we are going to look at the regularly scheduled election, where Republican Sen. David Perdue is facing a challenge from investigative journalist and former congressional candidate Jon Ossoff. Perdue, a former Fortune 500 CEO, was first elected … [Read more...] about Georgia Senate: Perdue and Ossoff Locked in Tight Race As Election Nears