In one of this week’s marquee contests, conservatives managed to flip a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court, Brian Hagedorn upset Lisa Neubauer by just about 6,000 votes. Thanks in large part to the work… Read More
A Quick Update on Wisconsin
Compared to Hillary Clinton’s anemic support in Western Wisconsin, Judge Lisa Neubauer did well. But in the Milwaukee suburbs that had seemed to sour on Republicans in 2018, she fell far short. While we’re waiting… Read More
Why Donald Trump Is Heading To Western Michigan Next Week (It’s Not About His Base)
President Donald Trump carried Michigan by less than 12,000 votes in 2016, and did so mainly on a massive shift among whites without a college degree. His performance in suburban areas, particularly those populated mostly… Read More
A Critical State Senate Election Special is Coming in Pennsylvania
Today’s guest post is by Jeff Ditzler, longtime DDHQ election data gatherer. He continues an earlier exploration of Pennsylvania contests with a review of the upcoming special election in SD-37. In a previous piece, I… Read More
Election Night Recap for 3/19/2019
Between federal and major statewide contests, the various contributors to DDHQ keep their eyes on local elections and specials. Here’s a rundown of the major ones from last night. Jacksonville- Municipal Elections The top… Read More
Noah Rudnick’s Hot Seat: NY-03
New York’s Third Congressional District is a surprisingly competitive seat: Democratic Presidential candidates consistently win it by small margins and down ballot contests can get close even with token opposition. Two-term incumbent Tom Suozzi faces… Read More
Michigan Senate 2018: Stabenow Wins a 4th Term, But It’s Close(-ish)
Continuing our look at Michigan, while the Democrats won the open Gubernatorial race there by a comfortable 10% last year, the Senatorial result was something better for Republicans. Senator Debbie Stabenow (D) was initially elected… Read More
Net Favorabilty Changes in Presidential Election Cycles
I saw a conversation back and forth earlier this morning on the negative favorability ratings for nearly every Democratic nominee. A tweet by CNN contributor Harry Enten caught my eye: YouGov’s latest poll: Dems lead… Read More
What The 2018 Texas Senate Results May Tell Us About Beto O’Rourke’s Chances In 2020
Today, the already crowded field for the 2020 Democratic nomination grew as ex-Rep. Beto O’Rourke announced his candidacy. With O’Rourke entering the race, it may be worth looking at how he fared last year. Elected… Read More
Michigan 2018: Democrats Fix Their Road to Lansing
After a lackluster showing throughout the region in 2014, Democrats picked up a trio of Governorships in the Great Lakes states in 2018. Two of these states (Illinois & Wisconsin) were gained by defeating Republican… Read More