This upcoming Saturday, voters in two of the Australian State of Queensland will go to the polls for by-elections to replace resigned members. These byelections, just months before the scheduled state election, are an interesting test for both the Queensland government, but also for a theory of politics that extends far past the borders of Queensland. Starting with the … [Read more...] about Queensland By-Elections, Demographics, and Trump’s Chances Of Re-Election
Analysis
The GOP’s Best Hope At Holding The Senate? Triage
With Thursday’s release of a Public Policy Polling poll from Montana showing a tied race in Montana’s Senate race between Republican incumbent Senator Steve Daines and incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Bullock, we finally have a poll from most every competitive Senate race in 2020. The Democrats need four gains, given Alabama will go to the GOP, to get to a 50/50 tie, where … [Read more...] about The GOP’s Best Hope At Holding The Senate? Triage
Pete Buttigieg Has Dropped Out – What Next?
Pete Buttigieg has decided to end his campaign for President, signaling the true beginning of the winnowing of the field for President. Pete, the former Mayor of South Bend. Indiana has become a national figure in this campaign, even if his departure means he will not be able to perform the political miracle that winning the nomination from his position would have represented. … [Read more...] about Pete Buttigieg Has Dropped Out – What Next?
South Carolina Results: Gamechanger
Some thoughts on tonight’s South Carolina Democratic Primary results, starting with… Joe Biden Is Legitimately Back Just as last week’s Nevada Caucuses were unspinnable, so are these results for Joe Biden. The former Vice President has won, and won by a margin that is undeniable. What the final margin closes at is still unclear, but for Biden to win by so much … [Read more...] about South Carolina Results: Gamechanger
Joe Biden’s Electability Argument Vs. Bernie Sanders’ Primary Results
Ask a Joe Biden supporter why they are supporting Joe Biden. Many of them will talk about his time as Vice President, that he has the right experience, or that he really cares about the people of America. When presented with the argument that other candidates have similar experience, and also care about Americans, they will usually pivot right to the underlining factor of … [Read more...] about Joe Biden’s Electability Argument Vs. Bernie Sanders’ Primary Results