After much talk of Joe Biden's campaign being unable to get much traction with Hispanic voters - and consequently polls showing him doing somewhere between mildly and much worse with Hispanics than Hillary Clinton did - Biden seems to have figured out his Hispanic problems, and he's done so in a big way. Per three recent National polls - conducted by Optimus, YouGov, and the … [Read more...] about Joe Biden’s Increasing Support From Hispanic Voters
Analysis
Covering And Understanding Elections In The World Of Covid 19
The Covid-19 pandemic has changed how we live our daily lives in so many ways over the last two months. As we’ve seen across the country these changes, great and small, have reached the world of politics and elections. Recently an ad-hoc committee of scholars and researchers led by professor Rick Hasen of the University of California at Irvine, released a report addressing … [Read more...] about Covering And Understanding Elections In The World Of Covid 19
What International Elections Tell Us About A Poll Tightening In The US This Fall
Probably the biggest question in American politics right now is whether, and how much, the polls may tighten as we get closer to voting day on November 3rd. According to the LeanTossup models, the GOP are substantial underdogs in all three of the Presidency, Senate, and House, but that is based on where the polls are now. If the polls tighten, the Model odds will do the same. … [Read more...] about What International Elections Tell Us About A Poll Tightening In The US This Fall
Swing State Polling Shows Trump Is Losing Badly
A series of six polls released on Thursday show Joe Biden ahead in every state, with swings to him from Hillary Clinton's 2016 performance ranging from 3% in Florida to 11% in Wisconsin. And, fundamentally, the election is over if this happens. How likely it is to happen is an entirely separate and distinct question which is up for debate, but nobody should be in any doubt … [Read more...] about Swing State Polling Shows Trump Is Losing Badly
Why Likely Voter Screens Might Not Save Donald Trump’s Election Chances
While we are still more than 6 months away from the Presidential Election, only one thing is very clear: Joe Biden currently has a wide lead against Donald Trump. While this is true nationally and in key swing states, it is very clear that Biden is performing better than Clinton across the board with almost every key constituency. One point many experts highlight, that could … [Read more...] about Why Likely Voter Screens Might Not Save Donald Trump’s Election Chances