Decision Desk HQ

Elections Returns, Analysis and Projections

2020 President

Joe Biden’s Increasing Support From Hispanic Voters

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After much talk of Joe Biden's campaign being unable to get much traction with Hispanic voters - and consequently polls showing him doing somewhere between mildly and much worse with Hispanics than Hillary Clinton did - Biden seems to have figured out his Hispanic problems, and he's done so in a big way. Per three recent National polls - conducted by Optimus, YouGov, and the … [Read more...] about Joe Biden’s Increasing Support From Hispanic Voters

Swing State Polling Shows Trump Is Losing Badly

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A series of six polls released on Thursday show Joe Biden ahead in every state, with swings to him from Hillary Clinton's 2016 performance ranging from 3% in Florida to 11% in Wisconsin. And, fundamentally, the election is over if this happens. How likely it is to happen is an entirely separate and distinct question which is up for debate, but nobody should be in any doubt … [Read more...] about Swing State Polling Shows Trump Is Losing Badly

Why Likely Voter Screens Might Not Save Donald Trump’s Election Chances

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While we are still more than 6 months away from the Presidential Election, only one thing is very clear: Joe Biden currently has a wide lead against Donald Trump. While this is true nationally and in key swing states, it is very clear that Biden is performing better than Clinton across the board with almost every key constituency. One point many experts highlight, that could … [Read more...] about Why Likely Voter Screens Might Not Save Donald Trump’s Election Chances

Maybe Biden Can Actually Win *More* White Working Class Voters

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After the 2016, many different media narratives came from the (somewhat) unpredictable results of election night. Some people believed the Democrats lost because Clinton was deeply unpopular, and could not connect to average voters. Some people believed that Trump had unlocked a populist core in America, which he could ride to power indefinitely. Others (like myself) believed … [Read more...] about Maybe Biden Can Actually Win *More* White Working Class Voters