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Scott Tranter

Forecasting the Georgia Senate Runoffs

January 1, 2021 by Scott Tranter

***UPDATED 1/4/2021*** The long and exciting election season will conclude on January 5th with the Georgia Runoffs. Two remaining elections - David Perdue (R) vs. Jon Ossoff (D), and Kelly Loeffler (R) vs. Raphael Warnock (D) - will determine control of the Senate. In order to have a majority (determined by the Vice Presidential tie breaker), Democrats need to win *both* … [Read more...] about Forecasting the Georgia Senate Runoffs

DDHQ 2020 Election Forecast Featured in The Harvard Data Science Review

October 30, 2020 by Scott Tranter

This week The Harvard Data Science Review released its special edition on Predicting the 2020 Elections.  This peer-reviewed academic journal that covers the science of data looked at models from The Economist, Allan Lichtman as well as DDHQ's own 2020 Election Forecast. Liberty Vittert an editor of HDSR wrote - Øptimus, in collaboration with Decision Desk HQ, presents both … [Read more...] about DDHQ 2020 Election Forecast Featured in The Harvard Data Science Review

DDHQ/UVA Crystal Ball Democratic Delegate Count – February 11th Update

February 12, 2020 by Scott Tranter

This year, DecisionDeskHQ is partnering with UVA's Center for Politics Crystal Ball to provide fast and accurate delegate counts for the Democratic nomination as the primaries and caucuses play out. Our update today covers the first two contests, Iowa and New Hampshire. UPDATE SUMMARY For nearly a week after the conclusion of the Iowa Caucuses, we held off on counting IA … [Read more...] about DDHQ/UVA Crystal Ball Democratic Delegate Count – February 11th Update

#UK2019: What To Watch

December 12, 2019 by Scott Tranter

Election night in the UK!   Its got everything an election nerd wants for Christmas: Viral Commercials Beautiful (Math) Models Dogs at Polling Locations As per usual we got the insiders look at what to watch on election night.  Instead of counties, its "constituencies" and we have figured out which ones to care about and when they report all in this doc right … [Read more...] about #UK2019: What To Watch

UK Polling & Seat Projections: Bet on Boris

December 11, 2019 by Scott Tranter

We have been doing polling and seat projection aggregation over here at DDHQ and as of this morning it looks like Boris Johnson is coasting to a potentially landslide win.  All of the data we are using in this analysis can be found here. Polling Aggregation   According to our polling aggregator, the Conservative Party is currently in the lead with 43% of the … [Read more...] about UK Polling & Seat Projections: Bet on Boris

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