Senate Democrats are now set to spend two more years in the majority, and that’s before voters in Georgia decide the final seat in a December 6th run-off. By this point, of course, even the most casual follower of politics should know just how crucial every single seat in the upper chamber can be. Not only would a 51st Senate seat give Democrats some breathing room, and … [Read more...] about Can Democrats Hold the Senate in 2024? A First Look at the Imposing Senate Map
The Messaging Mistake That Cost Republicans the Midterms
Maybe it was the crudité? With inflation at its highest point in four decades, high prices were seemingly destined to be the defining issue of the 2022 midterms. Indeed, voters consistently cited concern over inflation in public opinion polls throughout the year. So you’d expect Republicans to hammer this issue over the course of the 2022 campaign, likely with a flood … [Read more...] about The Messaging Mistake That Cost Republicans the Midterms
How the 2022 Midterms Altered Biden’s and Trump’s 2024 Hopes
Welcome to Election Week 2022! With DDHQ being the only election return service to call control of both the House and Senate, we can start to draw some conclusions from the 2022 elections, and what they can tell us about the upcoming 2024 Presidential race. Let’s start with the incumbent President Joe Biden, who seemed headed for the kind of first midterm reckoning dealt … [Read more...] about How the 2022 Midterms Altered Biden’s and Trump’s 2024 Hopes
What to Watch: An Hour-By-Hour 2022 Election Night Guide
After two long years, we’re finally here. The 2022 midterms election cycle ends on Tuesday night. Results in 35 Senate elections, 39 Gubernatorial races, all 435 Congressional contests and down-ballot battles from every state will begin to flood into newsrooms across the world, including here at Decision Desk HQ. So which races should you be watching? Well, all of them. … [Read more...] about What to Watch: An Hour-By-Hour 2022 Election Night Guide
Where Biden Stands, Compared to His Predecessors, on the Eve of His First Midterm
It’s nearly that time again, as we’re less than two weeks away from the 2022 midterm elections. The reason we referred to them as midterms, of course, is that they occur at the midway point of each President’s term – effectively serving as a kind of exam to test each incumbent President. The conventional wisdom, then, is that the higher a President’s approval ratings, the … [Read more...] about Where Biden Stands, Compared to His Predecessors, on the Eve of His First Midterm