Joe Biden’s margin of victory in Virginia was the largest for a Democrat since FDR in 1944. On a federal level, the Commonwealth has been blue shifting for two decades, with no Republican Presidential contender winning since President George W Bush’s re-election in 2004. U.S. Senate elections have broken Democratic since then as well. Virginia has been more Republican … [Read more...] about Newly Released Spending Numbers And The Battle For Control Of The VA State Legislature
There is consensus building that the Kentucky race is leaning Democratic or, if you look around Election Twitter, that Governor Andy Beshear is practically a shoo-in for re-election. Opposing forces are at work inside the state that position it to be the closest gubernatorial race in November. Unfortunately, state polling hasn't helped to clarify this and should be taken with a … [Read more...] about Kentucky Gubernatorial Election Preview (and a warning about Polling in the Bluegrass State)
I wanted to write something about the prospects of the Republican and Democratic Parties, at least in the immediate future, but on a national scale, I am throwing my hands in the air here. President Trump lost re-election with the same electorate that delivered more state legislative seats and Congressional seats than the midterm. President Trump would lose the popular vote by … [Read more...] about Reading The Electoral Signs
Covid-19 has changed almost everything in our society in someway over the last 3 to 4 months. As we’ve been detailing here at Decision Desk HQ, campaigns and elections have not been exempt. Voters have responded to calls by officials to vote by mail as much as possible by casting record numbers of absentee ballots in states across the country. This, combined with fewer … [Read more...] about Elections In The Age Of Covid-19: Don’t Expect Complete Results On Election Night In High Profile Kentucky Or New York Primaries
Pennsylvania and Maryland held their primaries on June 2nd. As of the time of this writing, I am updating the latest tabulation- 14 days later- out of Philadelphia. I just finished running the tab on Maryland. I recently “joked” on Twitter that “Election Night is Dead, long live Election Week”, but I’m really not joking. If you stopped your vote count on June 2nd, you would … [Read more...] about Still Counting Votes Across Primary States. Consider This A Preview Of November.