Decision Desk HQ is retracting the call we made in the CA-21 race. On election night we called the race for incumbent Congressman David Valadao over Democratic challenger T.J. Cox. Valadao finished election night with… Read More
Uncalled Races Update
As of this writing, DDHQ has not called four House contests: CALIFORNIA-39 GEORGIA-07 TEXAS-23 UTAH-04 California’s 39th remains uncalled due to the outstanding vote count. Republican Young Kim sported a lead on election night, but… Read More
Voter Registration Changes in Pennsylvania and the 2018 midterms
Those long-time readers of the Desk know of my special affinity (some would call it an obsession) with the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Throughout 2015 and 2016, I tracked voter registration changes as it finally ceased… Read More
Forecaster and model assessments of the House and Senate
While we have our own House and Senate model, which currently give the Democrats an 80.13% chance of winning the former with 224 seats, and the Republicans an 84.77% chance of retaining the latter with… Read More
Rhode Island Primary Preview
Fourty-seven states down, two to go in primary 2018. Tonight, it’s Rhode Island’s turn. The state has been lopsidedly Democratic in the Presidential vote for decades, but it elected Republican Governors for twelve straight years… Read More
First in the Presidential, Near Last in the State Primaries: New Hampshire Preview
Something Different For Decision Desk HQ Readers Tonight In New Hampshire: Look, you are going to read plenty of race previews for New Hampshire, if you’re that big of an election junkie. So let’s get… Read More
(Guest Post)- 2018 Profile: Ohio’s 1st District
Matt Hodges, a software engineer who studies campaign finance and election data, submits his analysis of OH-1. As he summed it up, a cracked Cincinnati may dash Democratic hopes. Overview Ohio’s 1st Congressional district is… Read More
Guest Post: De La Fuente’s Nine State Tour
Decision Desk HQ contributor Aaron Booth has enjoyed the saga of De La Fuente throughout this primary season. He crunched the numbers, and submitted the below for our readers’ enjoyment. Few perennial candidates elicit the… Read More
Decision Desk Results August 21, 2018
You can find our results for tonight’s primaries here. We have a refreshed DDHQ/Øptimus legislative model out today (signup is free) and the key races to watch are: Wyoming House Pre-primary a 90% Safe R… Read More
Race Preview- Wyoming and Alaska
As we round the end of the primary season, Wyoming and Alaska, two states with excellent dark skies, cast their rounds. Wyoming Polls close tonight at 7pm local time (9pm EDT) and right out of… Read More